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Canadian Open
US-SportsLegend jb24@live.com Postet 20.07.2016 20:45 Regnskap
  • Sport:Golf
  • Land:Internasjonal
  • Liga:PGA
  • Kamp / utøvere:Canadian Open
  • Tips/ utfall:Kevin Streelman
  • Spillestopp:21.07.2016 13:00
  • Odds:61.0
  • Innsats:2
  • Selskap:Bet365

1 unit each way at 61 with Bet365. 888bet 67 on winner only, but their top 5 price is also value, so either option is fine. 

I took 2 bets very early on Monday and they were Grillo 41 EW and Streelman 67 EW. Unfortunately these were gone way before I got the chance to tip them. I was going to skip outright picks, but since 61 is still available I still think that's a great price. Grillo and Streelman are absolutely my two main likes this week, but out of the two Streelman is the one I fancy the most (despite higher odds). Both have great form as mentioned before, with Streelman 12-13-8 in his last 3 starts, 2 of which were Us Open and WGC. He has a great putter and I think he has an excellent chance this week. He has been ranking very high on all stats his last few tournaments, so it feels like a win or at least a top 5 finish is around the corner. This course should suit him very well, and I like his chances a lot. 

Obviously the two main favorites in Day and DJ will most likely be in the picture, but if for some reason they don't play as well as they can things should open up nicely for the likes of Streelman. The next favorites are notoriously bad winners in Kuchar and Furyk, and Snedeker that hasn't won since last year at Pebble Beach. I loved Grillo at 41, but it was the each way I was after as I struggle to see him winning this week (obviously 41 was great value, but 32 that is on BF now I wouldn't touch). Grillo's stats are just unreal, and he has ranked 1-19-1 in driving accuracy and 4-5-1 in GIR in his last 3 starts, and it really is just a matter of time until he gets his 2nd win. His main problem is a super cold putter, and at The Open he managed to shoot over par while hitting 17/18 greens, which just highlights his problems. He can be a very good putter, so once he can put everything together he will win again. This might be the wrong week as GIR and DA stats seems to be a lot less relevant than PA and he hasn't ranked well on those lately. 12-14-2-54-11 in his last 5 starts, and 4/5 of them are majors/wgc/memorial. Absolutely great player to get in match bets this week!

Three long shots I like this week have drifted all week, and this is a good time to have some small bets. I will try to get 1 unit on Kisner at 90 on BF (I might buy at 85 if I can't get it matched right before the off), 1 unit on Summerhays at 95 and 1 unit on Adam Hadwin at 100. Same tactic with those two though, will try to get 100 and 110 matched first, I don't see them shortening up again. 

Grillo top 10 or top 20 at 4.50/2.5+ also seems very generous, I think they should be relatively shorter to the outright price than they are. I have him closer to 50% top 20 than 40% to put it that way.. 

Best of luck if you choose to follow, and I'll hopefully be back with round bets and potentially in-play plays between the rounds.  


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